1/22/15: Moving Up

A warm front is currently working across North Dakota.  Western North Dakota should record temperatures around 40°,  with far eastern North Dakota staying in the upper 20s to the very low 30s because that warm front will likely not reach the Red River Valley until late in the day.  In fact, the Red River Valley may record high temperatures this evening.

Morning Surface Analysis

Morning Surface Analysis

The warm air may trigger some pockets of light snow, especially tonight with some locations recording a light accumulation, otherwise, not expecting much in the way of more widespread moisture until Saturday.  It will be Saturday that yet another Clipper will move through the fast upper-level wind flow in the region.  It appears the low will move from Saskatchewan through southern Manitoba to Duluth.  That track would place most of North Dakota into a snow where little if any snow will fall from the low, with most locations recording just minimal snow from the cold front associated with the low.  The main snow band then will impact far northeastern North Dakota into northern Minnesota.

Early estimated snowfall from weekend system

Early estimated snowfall from weekend system

 

The cold front associated with the clipper will indeed bring in colder air for Sunday and Monday, yet, not all that cold for the time of year.  Toward the middle of next week (current thinking is Wednesday) an Arctic front with a likely attached low will bring another threat of snow, high wind and a blast of Arctic Air to finish off the month of January, but until then temperatures will generally be above seasonal averages and be quite mild today and tomorrow.

Daryl Ritchison

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