10/15/15: Cold to Warm

Friday and Saturday morning will likely bring freezing temperatures to much of the area.   The National Weather Service has already issued a “Freeze Warning” for the possibility of 28° or colder temperatures.   The NAM/WRF projected lows for the next two days can be analyzed below.

Friday, October 16, 2015 Projected Lows from the WRF

Friday, October 16, 2015 Projected Lows from the WRF

 

Saturday, October 17, 2015 Projected Lows from the WRF

Saturday, October 17, 2015 Projected Lows from the WRF

 

The few locations without a low of 32° will likely reach that point on one or both of these mornings, with many other locations recording a hard freeze at 28° or lower.  Yet, after these next two chilly mornings, temperatures are expected to get to seaonally average temperatures or even above average once again as the upper level wind flow will shift back to a warmer pattern.

Projected 500 mb heights/anomalies for Wednesday, October 23, at 7:00 PM

Projected 500 mb heights/anomalies for Wednesday, October 23, at 7:00 PM

 

Precipitation events continue to look weak and occasionally during the next 10 days.  So overall, mild and dry will be the overall trend through October 25 it appears.

Daryl Ritchison

 

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